markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 28?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 28?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=77.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-29Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29EC Juventude vs. Avaí FC: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'EC Juventude vs. Avaí FC: O/U 2.5': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=45.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29EC Juventude vs. Avaí FC: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'EC Juventude vs. Avaí FC: O/U 1.5': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearns': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=7.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to Advance': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=42.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=23.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=97.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics
Polymarket top market 'Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Carol Zhao
Polymarket top market 'Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Carol Zhao': YES=99.90%
EMRmarket:polymarket - 2026-07-29New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket