markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=38.20%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=5.50%

Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=96.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?': YES=98.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=2.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=22.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports (BO5) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Vancouver: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Hayato Matsuoka': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=5.40%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=30.20%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=66.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?': YES=53.00%