markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=93.40%
AAPLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=70.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katie Volynets': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29The Hundred: MI London vs London Spirit
Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: MI London vs London Spirit': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Vancouver: Liam Broady vs Jay Dylan Friend': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Solary vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=29.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=8.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=18.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket