markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: London Spirit vs Southern Brave': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket