markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=21.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=23.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee': YES=0.10%
EMRmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescu': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket