markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-042026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Polymarket top market 'LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: 7REX vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Renata Zarazua vs Tamara Korpatsch': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?': YES=93.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket