markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-03St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=21.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=23.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee': YES=0.10%
EMRmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket