markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmane': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=1.00%
TLNmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Kandy Royals': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=55.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenix': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baez': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=43.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket