markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-05Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-05?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-05San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenix': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarro': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=40.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket