markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Sandefjord Fotball vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 1.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-08-07?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-07?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Iran leadership change by December 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=86.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=77.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-07?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=11.00%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BoostGate Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=62.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-07Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-07Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winner': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket