markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=48.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=65.73%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=1.01%

Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'ITF Tianjin: Yuki Mochizuki vs Donghyun Hwang': YES=79.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=96.30%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)': YES=56.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?': YES=4.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=61.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?': YES=6.90%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will 1. FC Cologne win on 2026-08-07?': YES=98.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market 'Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 0 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=2.70%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by December 31?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 3 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=93.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=86.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 8?': YES=98.70%