markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-08Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Blue Otter vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-08-07?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?': YES=11.00%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=97.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-07?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencic': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=8.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=52.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-08Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-07?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-08Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket