markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-11Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 3.5': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11?': YES=13.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=81.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Polina Iatcenko vs Claire Liu': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-11?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-11Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-11?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=96.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Veronika Erjavec': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=47.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 4 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-11Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-11Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?': YES=96.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarket