markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 0 Aston Villa?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=97.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Todi: Daniel Galan vs Federico Agustin Gomez': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Alina Charaeva': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Todi: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrva': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=76.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-12?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs MI London': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket