markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=23.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF M25 East Lansing Men: James McCabe vs Noah Zamora': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=77.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-12?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Polina Kudermetova': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Kayla Day': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket