markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Jacob Fearnley': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=20.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=99.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-12?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Alina Charaeva': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mark Lajal vs Dalibor Svrcina': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Nadia Podoroska vs Ella Seidel': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-13Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket