markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=46.40%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.79%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.47%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=15.30%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%

Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibson': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.30%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-14?': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'DEN vs. ATL: O/U 40.5': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Vit Kopriva vs Quentin Halys': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?': YES=64.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkova': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=86.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.20%