markets

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.47%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=44.00%

Manifold consensus on 'In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?': YES=12.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Polymarket top market 'Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=6.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Browns vs. Bears': YES=61.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=87.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 15?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Afghanistan Tour of Ireland ODIs: Ireland vs Afghanistan': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-15?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Amanda Anisimova': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Hamburg: Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moeller': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-16?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 1080m by August 31?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldi': YES=79.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season': YES=27.00%