markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 0 - 0 Getafe CF?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Ethereum Up or Down on August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Will NEC win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will NEC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: Tottenham Hotspur O/U 0.5': YES=98.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Konyaspor win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Konyaspor win on 2026-08-15?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Gabriela Ruse': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket