markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-15Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-08-15?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket