markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=85.99%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.47%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=44.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=85.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)': YES=24.00%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=81.00%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?': YES=24.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 15?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?': YES=16.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?': YES=3.50%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=6.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 15?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: CCG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=1.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=84.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=22.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=64.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)': YES=61.00%