markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=79.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Kraus': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Buccaneers vs. Jets
Polymarket top market 'Buccaneers vs. Jets': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5
Polymarket top market 'DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Spread: NYJ (-5.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: NYJ (-5.5)': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=20.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever
Polymarket top market 'Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby': YES=98.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-15Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-15Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket