markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-14Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-14?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?
Polymarket top market 'Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: J.J. Wolf vs James Duckworth': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de Jong': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Lilli Tagger vs Talia Gibson': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket