markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Kenin': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-16Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Athletics': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-16Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-16Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket