markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=44.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.47%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=59.92%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Roehampton: Peter Makk vs Marcus Walters': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=36.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Prague 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Daniel Siniakov': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Esport BERG (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs': YES=86.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=78.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=87.40%

Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 17?': YES=91.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Roehampton: Filip Peliwo vs Nicolas Tepmahc': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Prague 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Sumit Nagal': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 17?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=24.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%