markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=18.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=36.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-17?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=62.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Christopher O'Connell': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-17?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-18Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=35.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-18Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-17?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket