markets

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.47%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Polymarket top market 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=36.20%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Younglings vs IMHOWeRGOAT (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=72.10%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-08-17?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=6.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=90.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-17?': YES=85.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=93.00%