markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?': YES=71.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?': YES=50.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=37.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=16.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=34.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegula': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?
Polymarket top market 'Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-20?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=54.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=37.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket