markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=19.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-08-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?': YES=10.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wang': YES=94.00%
KEYSmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?': YES=38.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=23.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?': YES=51.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-19?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket