markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=11.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=13.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=27.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Onion Team vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimova': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket