markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=97.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=57.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket