markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Ravens vs. Vikings
Polymarket top market 'Ravens vs. Vikings': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarket