markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=62.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=65.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=99.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?': YES=9.90%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=34.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Justo': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=10.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-In': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-25Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-25Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket