markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=43.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-29Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Polymarket top market 'Canadiens vs. Hurricanes': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?': YES=99.90%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?
Polymarket top market 'Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-29Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?': YES=0.35%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-29Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-29Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket