markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
- 2026-05-30Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?': YES=0.35%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=68.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=95.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)': YES=92.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=25.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30New York Yankees vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Athletics': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket