markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=25.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=32.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket