markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys': YES=0.10%
KEYSmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Spurs vs. Thunder
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket