markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=19.95%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=11.81%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.60%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=25.16%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.27%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=72.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.33%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia announce an N1/N1X Windows-on-Arm PC chip at its June 1 Computex keynote?': YES=80.15%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?': YES=74.27%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=36.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=3.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang': YES=79.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%