markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=71.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=93.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket