markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-05-31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=36.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket