markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
Polymarket top market 'Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.10%
TSLAmarket:polymarket- 2026-05-31New York Yankees vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Athletics': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 30?': YES=0.05%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=66.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=95.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=73.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Thunder (-2.5)': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket