markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=24.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=19.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket