markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-02Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=18.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Philadelphia Eagles in 2026-27?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket