markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?': YES=79.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
Polymarket top market 'Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=7.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex
Polymarket top market 'T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=18.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-02Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-02Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket