markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=94.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=46.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket