markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Trump out as President by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=26.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?': YES=21.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?': YES=88.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket