markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Alberta join the US?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=44.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duran': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Kamil Majchrzak': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Krueger': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?': YES=0.85%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=46.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=37.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket