markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-05Will Alberta join the US?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=53.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=44.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?': YES=0.85%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=46.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=37.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket