markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?': YES=92.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=77.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=40.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Alberta join the US?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=37.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=62.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.10%
MSFTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket