markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.67%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=11.81%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.27%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.60%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=73.44%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5': YES=99.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5': YES=92.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=99.10%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=88.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=95.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?': YES=66.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner': YES=40.00%