markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-28Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Owen Caissie win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-06-30?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Logan Webb strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nico Hoerner lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=22.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-28Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-28Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket