markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=20.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=22.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?': YES=95.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Trump out as President before GTA VI?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Polymarket consensus on 'New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket