markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=17.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Japan (-1.5)': YES=13.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=11.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Brazil (-1.5)': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-29Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-29Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket